Sunday, 28 October 2012

Eviction Notice for Vendor





1:10 Aintree SUN 28 OCT 2012    VENDOR  Lay

The step up in trip, I feel is coming a bit too soon for Vendor, Even at later stage I don’t, Feel he would see out the trip. Village star is the Sire of the dam; 6.3f tells me that he should not see out the trip.


Kendor (FR)  (12.0f) — Village Rainbow (FR) (Village Star (FR )  (6.3f))
In the good old days, the race fitness of a horse was a very important factor; the same principle should still apply today, for me this is a big negative that, Vendor has not run for 203 days, why?  Today Vendor is taking a step up in trip; He will need to be extra fit, to see out the extra distance.


There is nothing in the form book that tells me that Vendor will be unconvinced by the long layoff, In all his runs bar one he is held off the pace, The word headway pops in most of his runs, This tells you that, Vendor needs a stiff track, Where he can take advantage of horses that have cut out the donkey work, So in essence he is beating horse that are cooked.

31 Dec 2011  Vendor won his first over here, The horse that he beat  Tango De Juilley, did win in a race in France, Its important you look compare the running style of that win in France, to the race in which he finished second to Vendor.

Race in France:
Settled midfield on rail, headway to chase leaders approaching 2 out, soon ridden, quickened to lead run-in, ran on well

Vendor Race
: Led, ridden 2 out, joined last, kept advantage until headed final 75yds, stayed on same pace
In  the UK race Tango was the only serious challenger to Vendor, Keep in mind that Tango was giving weight to Vendor, The 3rd horse  Stentorian  was beaten 75L, By vendor, Stentorian last won a race in June 20010, over 7f on fast ground.


08Apr12  Vendors 2nd over here, A 7 runner affair which you could easily discount 5 of the runners, So again only one serious challenger to Vendor, That challenger came in the shape of  Its Oscar a 5-1 shot, Oscar was supporting a tongue tie for the very first time, which indicates some sort of breathing problem, Only placed once in 5 starts, beaten 14L by Vendor, Looks good? Well yes it does, But Oscar was also beaten just over 19L by Faha( Mare) Below is the record of Fahas race record, Dose it look impressive?


DATE
RACE CONDITIONS
WGT
RACE OUTCOME
JOCKEY
OR
TS
RPR
Video
21Oct12  
Kem 16Gd C4Ch 3K
10-9
*
*
Video
23May12  
Wor 16Gd C4NvH 1K
10-5
1/10 (4L Kruseman 10-12) 20/1
*
*
Video
21Feb12  
Tau 17GS C4NvH 2K
10-2
*
*
Video
15Dec11  
Tow 16GS C6NHF 1K
10-12
*
*
Video
04May11  
Pun 18Gd NHF 5K
11-9
*
*
Video
21Apr11  
Clo 17GF NHF 4K
11-9

So far do you think that Vendor is worth the investment? I would hope you don’t, Today Vendor is going to have to work harder, because he is taking on some seasoned handicappers, The pace is going (Should be) to be fast, The distance is longer, Will he be fit enough to see out the trip, In my opinion NO, GAY SLOANE at the bottom of the handicap looks the main threat to Vendor, I think he should improve for the step back up in trip, MIDNIGHT TUESDAY looks to be nicely weighted, Age is also in his favour, Hurdlers tended to reach their peak around 7

No comments:

Post a Comment