Monday, 19 March 2012

That VC AD

Sthl 19th Mar - 14:30 3m Hcap Chs
Matched: GBP 5,830 

Going in-playRadioToteRace Card
 Back & Lay  Market Depth  Betfair Starting Price (SP)
Selections:  (5)
102.1%
Back
Lay
98%


3
James Reveley
2.04
£68
2.06
£13
2.08
£25
2.1
£203
2.14
£6
A night In will be the case for backers of Night In Milan, Because they won’t be  able to afford a night out, First thing I noticed this morning was my selections  resistance point, In fact there 2 resistance points, First one centres around its current mark of 112, 3 times my selection as been defeated  at 112, The second point is the field size, 3 wins from 13 starts, 2 wins were gained in 12runner affaires, one in 8, 8 times my selection as been defeated under 8-9 field size. Then there is a very small pattern which revolves around the time of year, between March and April is my selections can’t be bothered to win months, 2 runs in march beaten, One run in April beaten 9L,2 of its 3 wins were in January the 3rd been in February , Most punters will not place great importance on this minuet factor, Some horses have their time of year, outside this time zone they never win, To them it’s a bit like summer coming in winter and winter starting in summer.


SUM LAFF: Over the past few months the press/pundits have briefly touched on the subject of non tries, Horse that are pulled up http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2012/feb/01/british-horseracing-authority-stewards-non-triers?CMP=twt_gu.  You will see that a respected pundit as given advice on how a horse can be pulled, I just wanted to go through Sum Laffs  form with you, Just to highlight how easy it is for a horse to be pulled, This is not to say that the trainer/ owner pulled their horse, But I’m just demonstrating that the wrong tactics were used.


09Mar11  Running comment of the race Sum won- Made virtually all, jumped path after home turn all 3 circuits, hard ridden approaching last, held on well (op 13-8 tchd 7-4) This win was gained on GD ground, Please keep this in mind.

05Apr11  GD GROUND BETEAN 21L- Running Comment-Tracked leaders until 8th, ridden after next, one pace from 3 out 9th of march he made all, this run tracked leaders.


04Nov11  HEAVEY GROUND  WAS PULLED UP, ON THE 9TH OF MARCH I TOLD YOU TO KEEP IN MIND THE GD GROUND.


9Nov11- PU- RUNNING COMMENT-Mostly chased leader until 13th, ridden and weakened before 2 out (op 2-1 tchd 9-4)

16Feb12- MOST RECENT RUN RUNNING COMMENT PU-Mid-division, lost place before 5th, behind when jumped slowly next, soon tailed off, pulled up before 10th (op 15-2 tchd 8-1)  SHOULD HE HAVE BEEN IN MID-DIVISION WHEN ON THE 9TH OF MARCH HE WON FROM THE FRONT?
Sum started off winning of 109, Then ran off 113,112, 112, present mark is 104, Most people will argue that the trainer/ owner have every right to run their horse how they see fit, After all its the owner who pays the fees, Ok let’s just Imagine that betting should only be restricted to the owners/trainers, There is a law in force that does not allow Jo public to bet on these horses, Do you think the industry ( Big four, Betfair)  would make the profits they do from horse racing? No is the answer, Its Jo Public who keep this industry ticking over, Without Jo Public you would not have derby, you would not have the grand national, You would not have the 0-45 handicaps at southwell, Why Jo Public gets a raw deal is all down to Jo public, Because Jo Public will is too busy trying to beat the system, Jo Public just can’t be bothered,  Sum as already drifted out to 11 from 8s this morning, This drift is just part of the plan to make punters concentrate on the market leader this morning, to be more blunt mind games are in full flow.
Sometime ago I twitted about the  advertisement that Paddy Power were using, I sent a direct message, They were using a attractive lady with a cane, I commented that the last thing that Punters think about when they go through a bad run is some Dolly with a cane, I expressed to them they would be better of using a talking Viagra Pill, I might be wrong but I have not seen that Ad since then, The point been that this ad would have got the approval of the brains in the organisation, The suited PR  Guy, When I first saw that ad, the first thing that crossed my mind that Paddy Power thought that put a nice bird in the add and punters will get turned on and open a account, Which I felt was a kind of insult to punters, If you look through my posts on my blog you will see the comment. Have you seen the VC ad?  When you see that ad does it make you run to open an account? Mr VC with his hands in his pockets trying to sound like Alan  Sugar is not asking you to bet with VC but is telling you, Bad ad whoever thought of it.
The point I am trying to make is that your voice can be heard, I could be wrong about Paddy power not using the ad because of what I said, If they have stopped using it they won’t say it was because of what I said (Not Bothered), If we the punters are not going to stick up for our rights then who will? I’ve rumbled on a bit today, But when you see that VC ad again think about what I said.




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