trade

12:10  Southwell (AW) TUE 22 NOV 2011 WHERE´S REILEY –Trade 7-80-8 could shorten to 6-5.90 Could be subject of punt?

Not run for 252 days, I would not be duly concerned with the long layoff, As he nearly won first timeout as a 2 year old, I have picked Reiley not because of the form figures of 11, I’ve selected him because I feel at the age of 5 he has yet to peak, What facts do I base this assumption on? A good place to start is his proven ability over C&D, Along with the fact that he has shown a good level of Consistency where on the other hand some of his opponents have shown Deterioration as well has inconsistency.

 15Mar11    Sth 6St C5Hc 1K  9-13  1/7 (1¾L Klynch 8-7) b 7/4F  Lee Newman  74

Running comment-Dwelt, soon recovered and led after 1f, made rest, ridden and hanging right from 2f out, kept on well final furlong, ridden out (op 15-8 tchd 2-1), After a Slow start, Hanging right 2f out he still manages to win, Kept on well means that he won well, The what if question we should ask is, Had he started on terms and not hung would the margin of his victory been further? If we can answer yes to both the if questions the we should assume that a 5lb rise in weights should not stop him, In fact you could say he might have a couple of LBs in hand.

08Mar11    Sth 5St C5Hc 1K  9-0  1/12 (4L Incomparable 9-6) b 4/1F  Lee Newman  68

RC: With leader, led over 2f out, shaken up and went clear over 1f out, very readily (op 9-4)-What I like about this run is the fact that it was over 5F, To win in this kind of manner over 5f on this track is not easy, Even some group class horses would not be able to win in this kind of manner, The form book dose tell you that he has yet to win above class 5,This fact should be negated by the fact that he comes into the race fresher than most and also he was not beaten far in a class 3 race over 5f at this track,Finshed 5^th beaten only 3L by the 93 rated Arthur's Edge, ROWAN SPIRIT would be the main threat both in the market and the race its self