Saturday, 25 February 2012

DAY 3- PROFIT FROM DAY 2 £300- BANK £2755-TODAY'S TAKE OUT £200-MY CONFIDENCE LEVEL

Chep 25th Feb

Matched: GBP 8,149 

Going in-playRadioToteRace Card
 Back & Lay  Market Depth  Betfair Starting Price (SP)
Selections:  (12)
104.4%
Back
Lay
88.9%


2
Harry Skelton
1.98
£23
2.04
£14
2.06
£78
2.16
£35
2.2
£10
2.4
£4
11
A. P. McCoy
3.6
£22
3.65
£5
3.7
£8
3.85
£10
4.4
LAY
ARDKILLY GUNNER I feel as a fair bit in hand of this field, He is running off a mark of 115 I feel he should be running off a mark of 130, we will come to that, In the mean time let’s look at  western High, Today AP is booked so most punters will be backing the Jockey rather than the horse, No matter how good the jockey is if the horses is been out classed it won’t win, In this case my selection is out classed by gunner, I was going to say if the horse is crap it won’t win.
Rainbow High (GB) 2012 STUD FEE: GBP 800 This is the stud fee for the Sire of my selection, Below are the comments, Reported thoroughbred in a real world means bleep knows.
Fourth reported thoroughbred foal; half-brother to bumper winners Ridgewood Ploy and West Ridge; dam no sign of ability at 7f/1m in three starts, including a Fibresand seller Below is information when she was in the market

HORSE
PRICE
BUYER
SALE

West Ridge, CH, G, 3-y-o
Ridgewood Ben (Deploy)
0 GBG
Withdrawn

1,800 GBG
Not Sold

Western Davinia, CH, F, 4-y-o
Lord David S (Deploy)
0 GBG
No Bid

Makes a change that bookmakers are been over generous with the market leader, based on his latest’s run I feel he should be trading  around in the 70s range (1.75) First positive is that he takes a drop in trip, the 3 month layoff should not be a problem as he won first time out (PTP) Below is the race in which he Finished second in, Rev won 3 races from 4, Placed in a grade2 behind the now 139 rated Deireadh Re, The 3rd horse as won NHF race next time out, Knighton Combe placed in some good class chase races, Highest mark 136,Winner of 5 races, Romeo Desbois Done nothing special but did cost €30,000 (3yo) –Herdsman came second to  Tornado Bob current mark 143, Although beaten 13L he did finish in front of 2 time winner  Wood Yer.
I think you can see why I feel that Gunner  as a fair bit in hand, However the danger to Gunner could come from the big outsider TRUCKERS BENEFIT
               

1

 Rev It Up (IRE) 4/1 http://ui.racingpost.com/ico/tipping-success.gif
5
11-5 
*
*
Run 4/ won 3 CURRENT MARK 129, PLACED IN A GRADE2 RACE (2ND TO 139 RATED HORSE)



2

6
 Ardkilly Gunner (IRE) 6/1
6
10-12 
*
*



3

10
 Mountainous (IRE) 4/1WINNER
NE6
10-12 
*
*



4

71
11
10-12 
123
*
*



5

19
 Romeo Desbois (FR) 40/1
6
10-12 
*
*



PU

 Herdsman (IRE) 7/4F
6
10-12 
*
*



PU

4
10-5 t
*
*

 

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