Tuesday, 3 January 2012

2 hours of hard work/ NR never mind

                         12:35 » Ayr TUE 3 JAN 2012 CADORE  LAY
Tue 27 Dec 2011 GOING: GOOD TO SOFT (SOFT IN PLACES) GS 7.6

TUE 3 JAN 2012  AYR GOING: HEAVY (Soft in places; GoingStick: Chase 6.8; Hurdle 6.7) (Both tracks 5m from innermost line)

Fri 24 Jun 2011 GOING: GOOD TO SOFT (Soft in places) changing to SOFT after Race 5 (8.50)
The above is very important information which will be over looked by the majority of Money buyers this morning. The stated going for the 27th Dec is somewhat misleading, I viewed the replay of that race and not once did I see lose turf been turned over, I viewed this replay a total of 12 times just in case I was wrong each time the result was the same, Bar one when this bloke appeared from nowhere waving his arms about, I’m sure it was Derek Thompson.

24th June: This race was on the flat, in which my selection was beaten 11 L, The going only changed to soft after the 5th race (my selections race was the 5th), In short what I am trying to convey to you is that I don’t feel he will be suited by the heavy going today.
Pace: 17Oct11  Pon 10Gd C5Hc 2K     Prominent, close up 4f out, ridden along 3f out, soon weakened and behind when eased well over 1f out (op 17-2)

In the above race my selection raced close to the pace, Result he got beat 38L, Again Viewing all replays I feel that my selection needs a decent pace  to have any chance of winning, A lot of professionals (No Norbert Don’t mean Bodie and Doyle) will be thinking this factor can be negated by him making the running.

Led 2f, led 6f out until over 1f out, soon weakened BETEAN 11L
Chased leader until led over 5f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, soon outpaced (  4L
Both the above runs were on the flat, if he fails over shorter distances making the running then I feel he could find it difficult over this longer trip.
Pattern: There is a pattern in the form of my selection, this pattern centres on the days between his races. If you look through his form you will see that maybe he is coming into this race to soon, The Professionals will Dot Cotton on to this fact after the event.
Value: Without any sort of reservation at the Premier Inn I would say the value in the race is  DAM I BETTER STOP WRITEING THE SON OF BLEEP IS A NR, WOULD NOT BE SUPRISED IF HE WAS WITHDRAWN BECAUSE OF GROUND, WHAT A SHAME.

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