Monday Selections

12:20  Musselburgh MON 5 DEC 2011      SOPRANO  Lay/ Trade 1.96-1.97

For once I feel the price of my selection reflects his true chance, On form he stands out, One lesson that I have learned  over the past few weeks is that I must perceive things as the Norbert’s of the racing world would, In doing so I feel I would be able to predict price movement more accurately.

Although Soprano as the best form on offer I do feel he can be beaten, having devoted a considerable amount of time to this race, I feel it will have been well worth the effort, The Market I don’t feel will pick on the fact that Soprano wins have been gained when he has received weight, Put him in a situation where he as to concede weight then you will see the Bollinger bands on his form lines go on strike,  Look through Sopranos form and you will see that he performs much better on fast ground, Also he performs much better in the summer than winter, Bob Will I feel as more room for improvement, Not over raced I feel Soprano will find it difficult  to concede weight to him,

The above price that my selection trades at represents very poor value, Although I have said it reflects his true chance of winning I do feel he should drift out to around 2.30

12.30 Ling The Fav can be laid , On breeding should not win, priced at 2.68-2.70 should drift out to 4,Dark Falcon should trade much lower in IR – Current price 4.50-4.60 should hit 2.30 at some point