Thursday, 22 November 2012

Deirdre& Me



Very confident  selection  Why  the Hell is Norbert up so early waiting to get matched at 1.90? Norbert don't do it! You are entering the market at the wrong time- Uxizandre could  drift out to 2.48-2-50, Let me show you why

For Crying out loud Norbert, He was a 33-1 shot  in a 3 runner race, Over 2m1f the comment no extra is applied, Over today's trip 2m3f you could see the comment applied by Norbert-Knackered 2 out,The selection  came to Alan King on the 28th October, Will  that be enough time for him to get use to his new environment? New training methods? NO


I have always said that if you don't   put in the effort and time, you will never make  this game pay, Important factor, I don't do mind reading, But some time in the future you could hear- We brought him to go chasing  So today my selection is running on a tighter track, bigger field size. 
I would say that the stable mate of my selection THE MUMPER, Got more of chance to win this.



The step up in trip should suite, Lets look at the 3 races
16th DEC
Held up in touch, headway 8f out, went modest 4th over 2f out, kept on one pace (op 5-1 tchd 9-2


21st Feb


Mid-division, headway over 5f out, ridden to chase leaders over 3f out, stayed on same pace (op 16-1)


13th May

Chased leaders, not fluent 2nd, went 2nd before 3 out until before 2 out, jumped right 2 out, outpaced and beaten when hit last (op 7-1)

All the above races were shorter than today's distance, All indications are that the step up in trip will suite.


Most recent run, Here he was beaten  by stable mate   Turn Over Sivola , Important  factor been the market sentiment 11/2(Turn Over Sivola Recent winner)


When the Market wakes up, It will tell you that the Mumper is better fancied to win this, Should this be the case, Then you could see one of the biggest drifters of the NH season. Since I started posting my selections again, overall I am  showing +, 90% of my selections have been very short price selections, what stops me from giving the 9/4, 11/4 shots, is the responsibility to the readers of my blog, I am giving some serious consideration in  venturing into the bigger price range, Should I do so, I would ask you not to go mad.


Since I started posting my selections, I have noticed a trend, That been that 95% of my selections would have returned a profit, had I or you traded out IR, Even yesterdays selection.

Also horses which I have mentioned, (Possible winners) 65% have been placed, Some at very big prices, These stats, tell me that with some adjustments I could return a very healthy profit, I am looking into giving strong win bets, This involves putting in extra work, No matter what the results are, I really do hope, That you might learn something from my work

FULL RESULT

Pos(Draw)DistHorseAgeWgt(OR)EqJockeyTrainerIn-playHigh/LowBSP/ISP(+/-)Place
1(10)Absolutely So29-3-David Probert Andrew Balding3.45 / -1.85 / 1.8(1%)1.14
2(11)Whipper Snapper29-3-Jim Crowley William Knight- / 36.19 / 6(-1%)1.82








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