Monday, 26 March 2012

second selection

Towc 26th Mar - 17:30 To Be Placed
Matched: GBP 9,181 

 Back & Lay  Market Depth  Betfair Starting Price (SP)
Selections:  (10)
315%
Back
Lay
289.8%


3
David Bass
1.53
£17
1.55
£64
1.56
£13
1.61
£46
1.7
Should my selection touch 2.74-2.76 I would recommend a straight win lay, I am very confident that the winner of this race will be PEARLS LEGEND, But first let  look at the reason why I feel Follow the facts will not win.

Andrew Tinkler who has a good strike rate for the trainer/ owner was present at the track today, He had 2 rides the last been in the 3.30, I feel if the trainer felt Follow the facts could win he would have booked Andrew Tinkler to ride instead of present Jockey, Some will point out that N.H. won this race in 20010 with David Bass, I went back to look through the results that day, N.H. only had one runner at the track that day, There were no first choice Jockeys  present that day, Also if you go on the Dams blood line her off spring are suited by soft ground, In fact when they have run on GD/GF they have been well beaten.

 PEARLS LEGEND: I feel should take some beating, It should be seen as a positive that Timmy Murphy is booked for the second time, only one run to date on ground which I feel would not have suited(Soft) On that Occasion Legend did Finish in front of the 2-1 market leader  Tell Me Y, Winner next time out of a class 4 Novice Hurdle, KILLIMORE COTTAGE also ran in that race Finishing around 1L behind Legend, What I like about Cottage is the fact that he has shown that he can change gears- Led at steady pace until quickened 4f out, ridden and headed over 2f out, hampered and weakened inside final furlong Horse that can Quicken should be taken merit closer attention , I feel his current price offers some real value? Because he quickened on soft ground can you imagine what he could do on this faster ground?
Nick Scholfield
14
£8
14.5
£9
15
£15
15.5
£18


  LOMBARD LIGHT: was  kind of bullied out the race on his introduction to race course proper, But still managed to make some head way late on.

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