Rare Sunday bet, The sun is shinning, I feel good, and I know Gold will be melted

FfosL 19th Feb - 13:30 2m4f Nov Hrd

Matched: GBP 15,808

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Back & Lay  Market Depth  Betfair Starting Price (SP)			More options
Selections:  (12) 105.1% Back Lay 98.3%

1 Ohio Gold Brendan Powell

2.44 £6

2.5 £307

2.52 £52

2.56 £6

2.58 £40

12pt confident lay

Was stepped up in class where he was thrashed 38L, Look at his wins, All his wins were gained carrying under 11st to he carries  11-12 big weight to shoulder considering the  dead weight in the saddle, Look at his win on the 19 Dec 2011 , you will see he did not beat anything special, His market price that day was 4/9 so you should not get carried away by the distance he won, It might as well been a class 5 race because he only beat a bunch of horse that would struggle to win a run of the mill seller

08 Jan 2011- this is the race why Gold is so short today, beaten 2¾ by the 140 rated Ballabriggs, but we must look at that race in its entirety not just because the winner was rated 140,  Zakatal finished third in that race, now Zakatal is a 2 times winner, one win in 09, and the other in 11, Robin Will was beaten just over 9L by Ballabriggs  Robins current mark is still 118, Since that run he has been beaten by 100 rated horses. I have pointed out why this horse is short as it is, Bookmakers odds compliers know that at this price punters will be steaming in, Because they know most punters will not dedicate the time look at the race like I have, So it’s a case lets suck them in at this price. My selections most recent run tells me this is where his pain barrier is class 2, In a way it also tells me that run behind Ballabriggs should be ignored

KOULTAS KING look very unexposed, Again punters are going to just look at the bare form figures, They won’t try to look at the bigger picture, Only 4 runs to date, But 2 of those he was beaten by the same horse, Speed Master, 5 starts 4 wins, current mark 126, Speed master is the sort of horse that could win a class 2 race (With time),   26 Dec 2011  Speed master beat King for the second time, But let’s look at the running comment of king in that race-Pulled hard, upsides when mistake 2nd, slight lead before 3rd and kept slight advantage but hard pressed until headed before 2 out, A lot of positives to take out from the running comments, Keep in mind this was his first start of 20012 and also keep in mind that Towester is a very testing track, If you go that one step further and look at Speed master form you will see that he beat a horse called  Belle De Fontenay by 7L, This Horse Finished some 12L in front of  Balerina rated 118, also a winner of class 4 novice hurdle(most recent run) beating Old Way by 60L, Winner of class 4 novice hurdle and also placed in a class 3, Keep in mind my selection was beaten 38L in a class 2 race, I would say my selection is very vulnerable to unexposed types like King and PERICOLOSO.

19Dec11	Plu 21Sft C4NvH 2K	10-12	1/13 (22L, Isleofhopendreams10-12) 4/9F	Brendan Powell	128	*	*
	28Nov11	Fol 21Gd C5MdH 1K	10-5	1/8 (1¼L, Joseph Lister10-2) 2/7F	Brendan Powell	128	*	*
	04Feb10	Wcn 16Hy C6NHF 1K	10-8	1/12 (½L, Five Star Wilsham11-4) 8/1	Joe Tizzard