Monday, 12 December 2011

1:30 Fakenham MON 12 DEC 2011 AMUSE ME Lay

1:30  Fakenham MON 12 DEC 2011 AMUSE ME Lay- Trade 1.87-1.88
01 Dec 2011: Beat Edgebury 1L, I am of the opinion that my selection did not beat Edgebury rather the conditions did, Edegebury winning form is on GF going stick around 10, In the home straight in the race which my selection beat him the going turned from Gd to Gs that would not have suited Edegebury.
Amuse as won five races, Most Punters will be Dazzled by the FIVE 1S, most will be too lazy to look the strength of the beaten horses, Let me make the effort which I hope will open your eyes to the fact that Amuse is very poor value.

17Feb10 1 – Won NHF by 8L, The second horse Stetson was a first time starter, A £1,600 purchase he has yet to win a race, Most recent run- beaten 27L(Flat) Steel Edge Finished 3rd -6 year old yet to win a race-Most recent run beaten 83L in class 4 handicap.

24 Oct 2010- Beat Spiders boy by 7L Winner of 4 races never won off a higher mark than 96 and that was back in 2009, Lightening Fire 9 year old winner of 3 races, best win mark 76

31 Oct 2010-Carrig An Uisce second best winning mark 95 again in 2009. Chalice Welcome3rd 68 starts, 8 wins on flat best winning mark 76- 22-0 over sticks.

05Nov10 Lepido beaten  5L on ground which did not suite, last won in 2009 off a mark of 95, Posh Emily 3rd would not have been suited by the ground best winning mark 98.

The 5th win was his most recent win over Edgebury who as stated would not have been suited by the sudden change of going in the home straight, and whose best winning mark was 85, we must also keep in mind that Edebury is a 8 year old

What dose waste of time (To the Norbert’s) tell us? Well it’s very clear that my selection beat horse that could not manage to win anything above the 99 mark, Taking that into consideration My selection can be beaten, TAYARAT, REFUSAL and WHITE DIAMOND have what it takes to beat my selection.
Trade: I feel the market will be Backing AP more than the horse, If the market takes into consideration the class of opposition that my selection has beaten, Then he should drift out to around 2.28.



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