Sunday, 8 April 2012

selection


5
(3)
Hawks Reef
Paul Hanagan
2.24
£607
2.26
£369
2.28
£8
2.34
£28
2.36

 You may recall that in my earlier posts I point that a horse should be bred by a proper stud farm and not a owner/breeder, Today’s selection is bred by its owner, I can’t find any reference to the Stud farm, Other than the company J E M Hawkins Ltd is based in Cheshire, I could be wrong but I think Mr Hawkins might have something to breeding turkeys (Not Joking) As a owner he last had a winner back in 2009 with a older mare(Same Dam) In fact the dam has only produced winning fillies/mares.
Can we be sure that my selection will be fit? Unless we have inside information we would not know, However sometimes the form book can help you, 14Oct11  was when my selection made his race course debut over 6f on soft ground, beaten 6L, Had the margin been say 1L or less I would say that for today’s race he could be fit,
05Nov11 Running comment of my selections most recent run-Led, pushed along 2f out, soon ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra well inside final furlong This run was over 6f, Today’s trip is 7f, So the form is telling you that over 6f he found no extra inside the final furlong, So do you think in 5 months he would be able to see out the extra furlong? I don’t think so.

The Fact that the Dam has only ever produced Daughters to win will go unchecked by most punters, I feel this bit of information is my edge over the market, Couple that with the fact that the owner/ breeder last had a winner back in 2009, with older mares (No Colts).

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