I have sat in my Chair dumfounded for the past hour or so, I have been asking myself is it true what I am seeing? £34,000 Don May 2011; Sixth foal; half-brother to bumper/3m hurdle winner Guantama Bay; dam fell only start in Irish point, half-sister to winning pointers That the owners of my selection coughed up 34K for a horse who’s Breeder Miss Esther Feeney breeds- Make Sure you sitting down-------- Breeds Ponies http://www.connemara-pony.com/breeder1.php?id=222 The most ironic fact is that the previous owner was called Mrs E.C Trickery, I don’t know who Monkees is in the part ownership of this horse, whoever you are Mr/ Mrs Monkees I think who ever told you it was good business acumen spend what you did (Unless it was a gift from Pipe) really have made a Monkey out of you. Tell me the truth, If you knew what I just pointed out would you still back this horse?
Someone been very brave in offering such a price for this horse, Let’s look at who owns the horse, Owner Sir Peter & Lady Gibbings, Not just your average owners( Unless they brought the titles on E bay), More than likely Sir Peter dose not bet on the horses, So I can understand him been a big price, Look at the breeding SIRE COMMENT: high-class 1m4f horse, top-class jumps sire, progeny inc. Big Buck's and Long Run; Then you have
His Sire still commands in 2012 a Stud fee: USD 30,000, Look at the running comment of his most recent run: Chased leader to 4th, went 2nd again after next until approaching 7th, every chance when blundered 3 out, ridden and weakened before next- That was in a class 4 race, Today he races in class 5, The Comment tells you he was right there with every chance but Blunderded, If you look through his form that was a big improvement on his last few runs,and if you go back to his first run you will see his best form was at this track. When these big priced winners pop up now and then, the first thing Norbert says how how( Stutters) the the bleep did did that( out of breath at this stage) Win, Well it won because there were factors which were there, But were dismissed by you, Thats how. If push came to shove and you asked which one do you think as the strongest possibility to win I would say-
I would not be put off by first time blinkers; we know that Montjeu had his quirks which were transmitted to his off spring, Ran off high 80s on the flat, Montjeu aside, Regale Park dose have plenty of substance on the dams side, Unlike my selection he was not bred on a Pony stud, If Just going back to BARTON STACEY: All runs to date have been on GD-GF yet to race on GS, Its interesting that all his runs were in the summer (Ground Factor?) Most punters will cotton on to the fact that he won first time out so they should not be too concerned with 224 days layoff, in my Opinion they would be wrong to assume this, That first time win was gained over 2m on GF in a NHF race, Not over hurdles, not over 2m4f |
I have the rare distinction and pleasure of being a leader in the field of education. Though the subject I have specialised in might not be included in the curriculum at Oxford or Cambridge. Picking winners or losers in racing is very much like trying to buy the right investment securities, The element of luck and chance occasionally upsets the best and soundest of calculations,
Wednesday, 4 April 2012
selection
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