Wednesday, 28 March 2012

Second Sel


Leop 28th Mar - 17:25 1m Stks
Matched: GBP 17,681 

 Back & Lay  Market Depth  Betfair Starting Price (SP)
Selections:  (6)
103.9%
Back
Lay
97.3%


3
(3)
Joseph O'Brien
1.98
£107
1.99
£39
2
£57
2.04
£60
2.06
My selection should shorten further reason will be that punters will be thinking that the faster ground will bring out improvement in my selection, The other strong factor will be that this represents a big drop in class, Which the bookmakers know is grand illusion.


What we must look at is the conditions which my selection won under, especially what ground conditions he won on, Today he races on fast ground for the very first time, The bigger Picture: The majority are going to assume he will be better served by the fast ground, But the person who knows best is the trainer A P O´Brien, Do you not think the trainer would not have run him fast ground if he had thought it suited him better than soft? I mean he could have shipped him over here for some decent prize money in August other than the one run at York,  or I’m sure there would have been other races in July which he could have run in, All his runs to date have been on soft ground, So why does the trainer run him on fast? Maybe to get a run in, For one of the 2 entries he holds at Newmarket in April, When the ground could be on the easy side.



Like I said in my previous posting I think Mr Smith has had some form of disagreement with the other big owners in the yard, the same kind of pattern emerges, Mr Smith after been a joint owner with Tabor and Magnier  is now the sole owner, You will be thinking what possible effect could this have on this race today? Well let me give you example, before Andre Villas-Boas  was sacked from Chelsea  there was disharmony in the camp, Players were not earning their wages, They were conning  not only Chelsea but also the fans, Now I’m not saying Chelsea fans are idiots, I would say more naive, Because the players did not want to play for Boas, The owner who I feel wears blinkers decided the solution was to sack the manger, He removed the cause of the disharmony, The solution in a fair and ideal world would have been to sack the entire squad, If not the whole squad then at least John Terry who thinks he is Mrs Chelsea. Look how well they are playing now, Was it because they all of sudden found they had an extra leg? I know some may think that Drogba got a extra leg, but let me assure you although he is a P (for cheating) it’s not a extra leg.
In all walks of life if there is disharmony it will have a domino ( Not talking about pizzas Norbert)  effect on just about everything, even the stable dog will be effected, I could be wrong in my assumption for all I know they all could be the best of friends, But it’s just something my sixth sense picked up, If I am right then what ever disagreements there may be or not, I’m sure it will have affected the trainer ability to do the job he does best.

ALKAZIM: I feel has the form to win this, His form behind Tell Dad gives him a good chance, That race was over 7f at HQ on fast ground, The time of that race is very respectable ( Keep in mind they were 2 year olds) Balty Boys finished 4th in that race, Was narrowly beaten in a group1 race,
Mrs John Harrington horse are involved in quite a number of form lines, It would not be possible for me to point them out to you, It’s very interesting that she runs SILVER SYCAMORE, VAULT will been seen by some as the pace maker, I know you might be thinking ho no not that smith Guy again, Yes again Mr Smith was joint owner with the big 2, Yes you got it, He no longer is joint owner!!


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