REALT DUBH: No relation to Fred Flintstone, I feel is the real value in the race, I’m using Noble Prince as the cornerstone to my form analyst. But for you to have a better idea you really do have to watch the replay of when, Realt beat Noble, and also when Big Zeb beat him, You will see that when Realt beat Noble he travelled much better than Big Zeb, You then have to tie in the form lines involving Big Zeb and Europe, Use those form lines I have come to the conclusion that Europe wll be Conquered today.
Ok so backers are thinking Europe will win this and the Greek Debut crises will be solved, Just take one step back and digest what I am going to shed light on, Look at Europe’s last 10 runs, You will see that he has won races that were 5-6 runner affaires,But Realt in its last 10 runs as beaten a field of 17, That must count for something.
Europe’s form is not bullet proof, The market is deceiving you, No strike that you(If you are a backer) are been mugged in broad day light, The flaw in Europe’s form is from the race he ran in on the 01Oct11, He won that race but was very lucky to do so,Look at that race and see how close the 137 rated Coolcashin finished to him, Keep in mind the 137 bit, Rubi Light would have won that race had he not made a mistake-Soon led, good jump 5 out and went on, reduced lead approaching straight, asserted from before 2 out and soon in command, drifted to right and fell last, remounted to finish 3rd (op 11/8) One very important factor- Soon Led- If someone elects to set a frantic pace in today’s race I feel that will be the down Fall of Europe and the Greek debut crises.
Big Zeb looks a lonely figure in the market, No one loves him, The clever players on the exchanges are going to make him drift, Zebs got his head phones on listening to anti no mountain high enough, Even though the mountain is high, I think he should not be dismissed, We are very unforgiving, Just because he ran a stinker that day when Europe beat him we just going to dismiss him, I think today Big Zeb could reverse the form, I have watched the replay of that race number of times this morning, Big Zeb I feel just had a off day, I don’t think the Heavy ground would have suited him, Europe I feel wrong footed Zeb, Its very hard to quicken up on boggy ground, besides that if you watch the replay carefully you will notice the Jockey of Zeb had conceded defeat after a mistake 3 out, The running comments make no reference to this mistake, Watch the replay you will see Zeb did make a mistake.
Ok so far you might still be thinking that Europe will win, well below are the past 10 years of results for this race, tell me do you see a 10 year old? But what you can see is a 11 year old winning, I rest my case,
YEAR WINNER AGE WGT SP TRAINER JOCKEY RPR
2011
Sizing Europe
9 11-10 10/1 Henry De Bromhead
A E Lynch
176
2010
Big Zeb
9 11-10 10/1 C A Murphy
Barry Geraghty
172
2009
Master Minded
6 11-10 4/11F Paul Nicholls
R Walsh
169
2008
Master Minded
5 11-10 3/1 Paul Nicholls
R Walsh
186
2007
Voy Por Ustedes
6 11-10 5/1 Alan King
Robert Thornton
167
2006
Newmill
8 11-10 16/1 John Joseph Murphy
Andrew J McNamara
172
2005
Moscow Flyer
11 11-10 6/4F Mrs John Harrington
Barry Geraghty
182
2004
Azertyuiop
7 11-10 15/8 Paul Nicholls
R Walsh
176
2003
Moscow Flyer
9 12-0 7/4F Mrs John Harrington
Barry Geraghty
174
2002
Flagship Uberalles
8 12-0 7/4F Philip Hobbs
Richard Johnson
170
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