Saturday, 3 March 2012

If I was the owner of crew I would lay it

Ling 3rd Mar - 14:15 5f Sell Stks
Matched: GBP 92,713 

Going in-playLive VideoRadioToteRace Card
 Back & Lay  Market Depth  Betfair Starting Price (SP)
Selections:  (4)
101.6%
Back
Lay
98.5%


1
(4)
Martin Harley
1.13
£17486
1.14
£19601
1.15
£18261
1.16
£5540
1.17
Crazy just crazy,  This horse can be beaten, 28 starts 4 wins, 3 of those wins have been on easy ground/surface, All 4 wins have been gained in field sizes of 10 and over, Not won in a 4 runner affaire, If I was the owner of this horse I would be laying it all day long, All I would is to tell my trainer Look there’s more to be gained from laying it today, 22 Feb 2012 My selections most recent run, Look how close Forty Proof rated 57 Finished to him, Then look at the running comment of Proof- Taken down early, held up in touch in last pair, pushed along entering final furlong, stayed on final 100yds, not clear run close home, Decider also ran in that race, a 40-1 shot lets look at his running comment- Taken down early, took keen hold, pressed leading after 1f until hung right and lost place bend 2f out, soon driven, stayed on same pace final furlong, Again Decider also had trouble in running, Had he not Hung he would have finished much closer,
TOMS RIVER TESS really does have a big chance, Last year she ran off high marks of 82-78,The only one in the line up to have won on grade 1 track(Doncaster) PHAROH JAKE Only 10 runs to date, Which is not bad for a 4 year old, I would say he is still unexposed, All 3 runners have a chance to beat this very short priced Fav, It really is not a one horse race, I know for sure If I was the owner I would lay it till the cows come home, That is if Norbert my trainer agreed Wink Wink say no more





Ling 3rd Mar - 14:50 5f Hcap
Matched: GBP 11,737 

 Back & Lay  Market Depth  Betfair Starting Price (SP)
Selections:  (8)
104.2%
Back
Lay
97.1%



1
(2)
George Baker
2.26
£35
2.28
£274
2.3
£58
2.32
£13
2.34
Mark Coumbe
17.5
£2
19
£2
19.5
£3
22
£3
If we could take this race back in time, Say 9th February  20011 then Mandy’s Hero would be running in a 0-55 handicap off a mark of 75,We can’t do that  but still we have to look at that, In my Opinion Mandy should be trading around 7-8-1 she really does represent value, If you ever wondered how you find value you have a prime example in Mandy. My selections best trip seems to be 6f, How do I know? Sf on the flat are a valuable tool(On the flat) They really do give you valuable information, In my selections case they tell me that she does not really perform that well on this track, Her lowest SF of 25 was recorded at this track, In fact she recorded that figure twice at this track, Mandy’s Hero based on past SF should beat my selection hands down. Also when you look through my selections form she does not win with any kind of authority over 5F, But when she as tried over 6f she did. PRIGSNOV DANCER if this horse hits the front you could say its lights out for the rest, I say this because if he establishes a clear lead then because of the class of race and horse, The others would find it very hard to Peg him back.


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