Second Selection

« 4:30 » Lingfield (AW) WED 22 FEB 2012 PALE ORCHID Lay-Will find it hard to win off this mark,was stepped up in trip after her win over 6f, Let’s look at the running comments over 6f maybe they will explain why the trainer stepped her up in trip

Held up in 5th, pushed along and progress 2f out, driven to lead between rivals just inside final furlong, stayed on well, Last 5 times she has been partnered by Luke Morris , Today she is ridden by Matthew Cosham, To most it will seem the Jockey booking is to  gain a 5Lb advantage, I think its more of case of getting her handicap mark down. Mick Channon is a very methodical sort of trainer he would not send WASEEM FARIS just for him to see the backside of my selection, I think the wrong sort of tactics were used for him when these two met last, Wasseem set a good pace that, Watching the replay I would say too decent, If the Jockey could set a more tactical pace today I think he will win. CHAPELLERIE I feel is the value in the race; My assumption is based more on handicapping angle, Look at what CHAPELLERIE as achieved to date, I would Chap taking  a disguised class drop, Not trying to be clever let me explain, What I am looking at his her 2 runs at grade one tracks, Newb and Newmkt, At Newmkt she was beaten just over 2L by Elusive Flame level weights, flames current mark is 85,Flame as won a class 2 handicap beating horse like Roger Sez rated 104 and winner of  Group 3 race,That is very strong form.

Please don’t think that because I got one wrong I’m trying to make myself look good, I showed you in black and white that Frankie thought My selection did not act on the surface, I did not pick out because it was short and If I got it right I would take a bow, I based my selection on some solid facts, Not just a lets kick it and hope. Pale will lose and she will help see the day end in good profit, I don’t want to tweet this because for me  in the eyes of others it’s a crime for me to give out a second selection straight after i get one wrong, Complete idiots backing at these odds.

1.92 £665

1.93 £1107

1.94 £122

1.95 £773

1.96 £203

1.97 £26