I am very confident that the winner will come outside the front 2 in the market, OVERWHELM would be the main danger to my selection, Look at his form figures and you could be forgiven for moving on quickly , Below is a race he ran in April 20011, I know it’s a 3 runner affair but what we must look at is the class of the race( class 4 3k prize money) and also the market sentiment that day 5/6, Also the top weight in this race Welsh Inlet ran in the below race, The market that day was very much in favour Overwhelm. Chjimes would be the strongest lay selection.
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SHERJAWY looks value at 8-1, If you look at the eases in which Black Baccara beat Clifford then you have to say that Sherjawy should have the measure of Clifford, Sherjawy as beaten Clifford, The only way you can think along the same lines is if you take the time to view the replayhttp://horses.sportinglife.com/Video/Racing/0,27770,473870,00.html
SPIC ´N SPAN another big outsider with a big chance, My assumption is based more on putting myself in the shoes of the trainer rather than form lines, Spic as beaten CHJIMES, But I’m looking at the race run on 24 Jan 2012- You will see that the trainer of Spic had a horse called decider finish behind Clifford, Although I said I was not using form lines I have to assume that the trainer as a very good idea where he stands with Clifford through decider.
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2 3 | 1 | Liberal Lady 11/2 | 4 | 8-5 e/s | 59 | * | * | |||||
| Tracked leaders, headway to chase winner over 1f out, stayed on but no impression inside final furlong (op 9-2) | | ||||||||||
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3 7 | ½ | 4 | 8-9 b | 58 | * | * | ||||||
| Slowly into stride, held up in rear, headway over 1f out, driven and stayed on final furlong, took 3rd final 30yds and closing on 2nd near finish, never any chance with winner (op 3-1) | | ||||||||||
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4 2 | ¾ | Decider (USA) 8/1 | 9 | 8-11 v | 60 | * | * | |||||
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