12:20 » Haydock FRI 30 DEC 2011 TIPPERING Trade -Lay
2.38 £5 | 2.4 £70 |
Should shorten to around 1.99- IR you could get early 1.78
At First glance you would think it’s a done deal that this horse should win today, that’s exactly what I thought this morning, Then I stumbled upon something which most punters will ignore this morning, That is the dead weight in the saddle, No Norbert I don’t mean the Jockey is a dead beat, The Jockey dose enter into the equation, If you look through the Jockeys form you will see that he rides much better on a low weight but when rides around today’s weight he is hopeless, HURDLE 0 34
VIVARINI-Not been at his best for some time. Not my comment but the comment in the racing post, this comment is made without any serious consideration, by that I mean they just looked at the form figures and made a lazy observation. I for one think that his last 12 runs should all be ignored, I could understand if you advised a career move for me, The reason why 12 is down to the jockey bookings for those last 11 runs, 12th was a flat race so we can dismisses that run, Look at the last 2 runs-S W Flanagan-S W Flanagan who? Exactly
NHF 0 5 — 0 1 0 £0.00 £209.58 -5.00
HURDLE 0 36 — 1 2 1 £0.00 £2,166.66 -36.00
CHASE 0 15 — 1 2 1 £0.00 £2,702.67 -15.00
Vivarini has won 3 races, one race he won by 30L yet he runs off a mark of 102, I’m not implying any wrong doing by the trainer but could it be that his handicap mark was protected by the booking of moderate ability jockeys? Keep in mind the winner of this race gets 4k,Today the trainer as booked a jockey who as ridden winners for him, C´MONTHEHAMMERS is well handicapped and is ridden by a jockey who has winning relationship with him.
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