Wednesday December 14 2011 Newbury 12:20 Ardlui LAY-TRADE Current 1.96-1.97 could drift out to 2.38.
I am very confident that Ardlui will not win today, the soft ground, track, no pace in the race are vital ingredients that will leave a bitter taste in the mouths of those backing him today, I viewed his win on the flat to his latest run over the sticks side by side, If you ever wanted to see what a difference the ground conditions effect a horses chance I would ask you to do the same, Taking the time to view the replays also helped me reach the conclusion that a slow run race is as much use to this horse as the gaff that Gerald Ratner made in 1991.On soft my selection seemed not to stay the trip, We must also look at the fact that he was soundly beaten at this track on the flat.
I don’t feel my selection will find the improvement to beat TANGO DE JUILLEY, Proven distance, Proven on ground, Yes he is coming into race back off a lay off, I feel the connections have taken good care of this horse, He was lucky to get soft ground in the month of July, I think the reason for the long layoff is down to the ground. I would not be surprised if my selection is withdrawn from the race on the account of the ground
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