Saturday, 26 November 2011

Trade

12:00 Newcastle SAT 26 NOV 2011DOUBLE EXPRESSO Lay/ Trade 3.30-3.40

Comment after his win- 07Mar10 Sedgefield   He´s a nice horse, but Denis said he was hating the sticky ground - Ray Hawkey, trainer´s assistant, Today he is encountering the sticky ground which he hated so much, LACKAMON has already beaten him 14L, He has the benefit of race fitness yet is priced at 4.50-4.60 II feel you could see him shorten to around 3.75, Double is. Supporting a tongue tie for the first time in my opinion is a negative, especially if there is a head wind/cross. The reason why Norbert got up early to put up his £500 to be matched at 3.40 this morning, is due to the fact that the second horse who DOUBLE beat, Benny Be Good has gone on to win a listed (chase) race, I would ask Norbert to take into consideration two factors, Did Expresso win a race after that win? Answer no, second factor- I agree that form is solid, But should we not tie into the equation that Lackamon beat Expresso by 14L, Surely should Lackmon not be the market leader on that form line?

Trading- Based on the fitting of the tongue tie and the fact that Lackamon has already given Expresso a sound beating I think Expersso should drift out to around 4.90- 5.25, Lackamon  should come in for support from 4.50 into around 3.75.

12:20  Newbury SAT 26 NOV 2011  EARTH PLANET Trade 5.90-6

Look at EARTH PLANET in the same light as you would look at a Austin Allegro (Norbert’s chick Puller) He is a horse who has to be produced late as possible, I don’t feel the jockey on board will have the expertise to time his run, I feel he was lucky to win his race at Herford – Comment of the second- Led until 3rd, with leader until led 11th, ridden before 2 out, blundered badly last (normal 2 out), headed under pressure passing last, Should drift out to around 8-9

12:25 » Towcester SAT 26 NOV 2011 ON TREND Trade 3.55-3.70/ MISTER HYDE 1.93/1.96

The 3rd fav in the race KAITUNA is somewhat over priced and should come in for some support, Trend I feel should drift out to around 4. Because the 1.93-196 on the market leader looks very generous indeed, MISTER HYDE in my opinion should be trading around the 1.69 mark, On trend was well beaten by horses with RPR of 123 Mister Hyde’s RPR is 144, I would consider laying Trend if it shortened to around 3.20 which I doubt very much

12:45 » Bangor-on-dee SAT 26 NOV 2011 TITEUF DE TIERCE Trade/ lay 2.46/2.48

A joke, an insult to punters, First time in handicap, Horse it beat in France was beaten over 30L next time out, He should drift out to around 2.75-3








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